over.

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.92K
Potential profit: $26.92K
User PnL: -$3.53K

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.72K
Potential profit: $23.72K
User PnL: -$10.17K

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$34.22

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.96K
Potential profit: $17.96K
User PnL: -$666.21

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.48K
Potential profit: $14.48K
User PnL: -$511.6

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $3.95K
Potential payout: $11.36K
Potential profit: $7.41K
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $710.43

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.18K
Potential profit: $9.18K
User PnL: -$633.36

No position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.01K
Potential profit: $9.01K
User PnL: -$5.4K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.2%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $8.79K
Potential profit: $7.63K
Multiplier: 7.60x
User PnL: $170.3

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.7K
Potential profit: $8.7K
User PnL: -$117.46

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.93K
Potential profit: $7.93K
User PnL: -$3.67K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $1.18K
Potential payout: $6.92K
Potential profit: $5.74K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: -$105.61

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $5.55K
User PnL: -$310.99

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$75

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.16K
User PnL: -$3.41K

Yes position

Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$2.28K

Yes position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.51K

Yes position

Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$210

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $94.01
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$348.41

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $994.25
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $594.25

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 38.8%
Current value: $778.8
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $278.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93K

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.16K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45K

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.55K

Heat position

Warriors vs. Heat

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22K

Yes position

Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13K

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Louisiana Tech position

Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Louisiana Tech

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Gen.G position

LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $991.95

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $975.39

No position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $969.78

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?