Yes position
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.64
- Potential profit
- $68.64
- User PnL
- -$16.65
Polymarket Trader
0x8e8208EF4D217dA3608479639dAA218a52EC30aF-1772207100223
0xfaab530600c13e612fbbf563472cf855f17102ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.42
- Realized PnL
- $29.4
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.77
- Potential profit
- $47.77
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.2%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.25
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Multiplier
- 8.62x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58% 10 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?No 78% 25.64 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes 16.8% 27.76 shares
- Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 25.3% 20 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes 16.8% 20.01 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 20 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes 11% 20 shares
- Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 24.3% 88.64 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes 60.8% 100 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes 19.8% 20 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Yes 6.9% 20 shares