Kerbalz

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $50.27
Potential payout: $346.72
Potential profit: $296.45
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $11.07
Potential payout: $159.27
Potential profit: $148.2
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$1.87

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $7.9
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $92.1
Multiplier: 12.66x
User PnL: $3.1

No position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $92.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $87.5

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

Implied probability: 33.7%
Current value: $29.51
Potential payout: $87.58
Potential profit: $58.06
Multiplier: 2.97x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $63.64
Potential profit: $58.86
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $20.87
Potential payout: $41.32
Potential profit: $20.45
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $9.07
Potential payout: $41.21
Potential profit: $32.14
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of June?

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $33.7
Potential profit: $15.84
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $9.96

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $16.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $13.65
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $10.35

Yes position

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.97
Potential profit: $27.97
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in June?

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $10.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $8.5

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $22.99
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.26
Potential profit: $24.26
User PnL: -$13.83

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $18.65
Potential profit: $16.69
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.28

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.22
Potential profit: $18.22
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.12
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will Sui reach $1.40 before 2027?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $4.41
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $108 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $81.77

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 79.8%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $74.75

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 13.4%
Multiplier: 7.46x
User PnL: $62.76

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.46

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $20.04

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?

Implied probability: 39.8%
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $19.65

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.83

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 in June?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $15.92

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.52

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $14.43

No position

Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.09

Yes position

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of June 1 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?