Polymarket Trader

0xfadb6c067341b7E2651B5919Bb17ba7ae59EE3dC-1762266086365

0xfadb6c067341b7e2651b5919bb17ba7ae59ee3dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.18
Realized PnL: $2.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.01
Potential profit: $110.01
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$8.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.97
Potential profit: $84.97
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C or higher on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?

Yes 2% 26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 93% 49 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?

Yes 3% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 84% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 79% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?

Yes 18% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 19?

Yes 26% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 46% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 45% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?

Yes 2% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?

Yes 0.3% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?

Yes 1% 5 shares