Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Polymarket" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Polymarket Trader
FireMage31
0xfae264c49df08f188c5fb9fddefb4585ca73c12f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.39K
- Realized PnL
- $14.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "UFO" or "Alien" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.06
Yes position
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $19.58
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$33.7
Yes position
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $535.26
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $2.02K
Yes position
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.53
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$46.76
Yes position
Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.83
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$45.45
Yes position
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $32.64
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.65
Yes position
Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $5.22
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.61K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.06
Yes position
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $22.15
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$31.03
Yes position
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $23.45
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$29.73
Yes position
Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $23.45
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$29.73
Yes position
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $27.36
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$25.82
Yes position
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $19.55
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$33.64
Yes position
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $13.03
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$40.15
Yes position
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $18.24
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$34.94
Yes position
Will Marcus Richardson win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $13.03
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$40.15
Yes position
Will Christopher Wood win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.82
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$45.37
Yes position
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.6K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$42.76
Yes position
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $14.29
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$38.74
Yes position
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $16.89
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$36.13
Yes position
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $9.01
- Potential payout
- $2.57K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$43.53
Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Prediction" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $15.16
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$31.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47K
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $980.34
No position
Will Chappell Roan be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $688.13
No position
Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $495.1
No position
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $315.16
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265
No position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.8
No position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.8
Yes position
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.8
Yes position
Will McNeese win the 2026 Southland conference championship?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.7
No position
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.32
No position
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.76
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.6
Yes position
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.7
No position
James Comey arrested by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.9
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.92
No position
Will Trump say "Where is" 3+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.5
No position
Will Lane Hutson win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.35
Yes position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.48
No position
Will Frank Ocean be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.81
No position
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 10% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.18
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.65
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alabama win the 2026 College World Series?No 98.5% 3,120 shares
- Will Trump say "Fight" during UFC 250?Yes 47.6% 67 shares
- President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?No 98.8% 89.88 shares
- President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?No 98.7% 600 shares
- Will Henrik Lundqvist attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 98.4% 73.2 shares
- Will Henrik Lundqvist attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 98.9% 549.31 shares
- Will Henrik Lundqvist attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 99.8% 2,510.61 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes 75% 1,059.98 shares
- Will Waratahs win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final?No 99.7% 143 shares
- Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?Yes 0.3% 7.71 shares
- Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?No 79.9% 60 shares
- Will 2+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?No 99% 65 shares