Polymarket Trader

Hornyland

0xfaf12f5da093cd0a1fa285adc8373a1711941f96

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.4
Realized PnL: $3.9
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$1.16

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.13

BIG Academy position

Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Kinoa (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $4.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.16
Potential payout: $4.21
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.19
Potential payout: $4.21
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $4.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $3.31
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

UCAM Esports Club position

Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Team Nemesis position

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Rebels Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs against All authority (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Enterprise Esports position

Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Bonk (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will October 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

D4vd arrested by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Trump talk to Salvador Nasralla in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11m and $13m?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: -$1.58

No position

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: -$1.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 90.6% 3.31 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Yes 97.4% 5.13 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?

No 94% 5.32 shares
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Kinoa (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs

BIG Academy 93% 4.3 shares
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 95% 4.21 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

No 96.6% 4.14 shares
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

No 99.6% 4.9 shares
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Bonk (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs

Enterprise Esports 93% 4.29 shares
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs

UCAM Esports Club 75% 5.29 shares
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs against All authority (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Rebels Gaming 86% 4.63 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Team Nemesis 80% 6.21 shares
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

No 94.4% 11.9 shares