No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $864.09K
- Potential payout
- $944.36K
- Potential profit
- $80.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $9.21K
Polymarket Trader
onekey02
0xfaf98181c44636998a194aa7660bcae1b977f4c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.13M
- Realized PnL
- $30K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $311.1K
- Potential payout
- $333.98K
- Potential profit
- $22.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.89K
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $154.56K
- Potential payout
- $170.78K
- Potential profit
- $16.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.71K
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $125.88K
- Potential payout
- $126.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- $2.15K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $105.07K
- Potential payout
- $112.67K
- Potential profit
- $7.61K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $103.66
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $99.1K
- Potential payout
- $100.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.32K
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $88.95K
- Potential payout
- $89.63K
- Potential profit
- $672.2
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $60.36K
- Potential payout
- $60.82K
- Potential profit
- $456.15
- User PnL
- $2.46K
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $36.82K
- Potential payout
- $42.08K
- Potential profit
- $5.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.18K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $36.73K
- Potential payout
- $36.79K
- Potential profit
- $55.19
- User PnL
- $18.39
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $32.57K
- Potential payout
- $32.81K
- Potential profit
- $246.09
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $29.83K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $165
- User PnL
- $645
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $28.36K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $23.29K
- Potential payout
- $23.39K
- Potential profit
- $105.27
- User PnL
- $409.39
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $20.4K
- Potential payout
- $20.43K
- Potential profit
- $30.64
- User PnL
- $808.47
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $19.94K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- $440
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $18.8K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $18.76K
- Potential payout
- $19.32K
- Potential profit
- $560.41
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$536.75
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $16.5K
- Potential payout
- $16.54K
- Potential profit
- $41.36
- User PnL
- $113.65
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $10.69K
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $313.5
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.32K
- Potential payout
- $10.19K
- Potential profit
- $865.73
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $505.9
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $5.48K
- Potential payout
- $6.13K
- Potential profit
- $652.88
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$456.31
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $5.81K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $192
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.14K
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $62.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $187.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $861.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $803.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.9
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.23
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $474.34
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.4
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.62
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.63
No position
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.09
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.4
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $352.27
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.88
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 37,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.6% 1,095.85 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.2% 3,500 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 99.6% 5,113.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No 99.9% 8,036.48 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No 99.9% 1,416.32 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.8% 10,354.82 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 95% 5,000 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?No 98.6% 600 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 99.9% 20,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 9?No 99.2% 125 shares