No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
Polymarket Trader
0xFB157E2c71167D2F13fDc114C2733d56d1FA1038-1772182812730
0xfb157e2c71167d2f13fdc114c2733d56d1fa1038
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $449.4
- Realized PnL
- $1.59K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $818.93
- Potential profit
- $818.93
- User PnL
- -$98.82
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.2%
- Current value
- $407.28
- Potential payout
- $615.22
- Potential profit
- $207.95
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $493.79
- Potential profit
- $493.79
- User PnL
- -$281.45
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290.88
- Potential profit
- $290.88
- User PnL
- -$49.82
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $42.12
- Potential payout
- $156
- Potential profit
- $113.88
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$7.88
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.17
- Potential profit
- $73.17
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.55
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.38
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $205.78
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.49
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $93.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.39
No position
Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.8
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $35.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $31.25
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.09
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.95
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.31
No position
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?Yes 32.1% 156 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.5% 182.22 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 182.22 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 88% 93.99 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 76.6% 93.99 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 38% 187.44 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 64.7% 615.22 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 82.2% 93.75 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56.5% 105.28 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 79% 331.57 shares
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No 55.5% 93.76 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 38.3% 105.43 shares