0xfB26066bB06fC1352b33371c5Bb93Bac24886aE5-1777139993435

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.11
Potential payout: $690.77
Potential profit: $687.66
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.23
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.2
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.8
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 13?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $171.99
Potential profit: $171.39
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $87
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.6
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $6.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.95
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $1.05

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.85
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.58
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.18
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.43

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.56
Potential profit: $46.56
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $4.28
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $40.73
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.75
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 34.1%
Current value: $5.11
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $75 on July 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $245 on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $315 on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close above $600 on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on July 8?