Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $236.19
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$17.56
Polymarket Trader
Basque
0xfb26f6f4ca742cab4e47c4d54efd960906d006f7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.6K
- Realized PnL
- $409.82
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.18K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- User PnL
- -$3.18
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $86.85
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $6.23
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$7.91
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $354.41
- Potential payout
- $379.05
- Potential profit
- $24.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $37.61
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $264
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $211.5
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $136.36
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.56
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $104.02
- Potential payout
- $110.01
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $96.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.85
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$73
No position
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.97
- Potential profit
- $76.97
- User PnL
- -$10
Bay Area Breakers position
MLP St. Louis: St. Louis Shock vs Bay Area Breakers
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$5.53
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $48.88
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.88
Rozicki position
Zuffa Boxing 7: Billam-Smith vs. Rozicki (Cruiserweight, Main)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.76
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.84
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.63
No position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.01
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.68
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.16
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.66
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.15
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.15
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.93
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.07
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$131.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?No 33% 300 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 92% 140 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 0.1% 3,180 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No 91% 74 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 98.7% 218.18 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No 82% 200 shares
- European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No 97.6% 218.18 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 80% 50 shares
- Zuffa Boxing 7: Billam-Smith vs. Rozicki (Cruiserweight, Main)Rozicki 30% 30 shares
- MLP St. Louis: St. Louis Shock vs Bay Area BreakersBay Area Breakers 7.9% 14.5 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No 84% 100 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79% 130 shares