Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $4.54K
- Potential payout
- $4.88K
- Potential profit
- $333.94
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $241.16
Polymarket Trader
greengasper
0xfb328b94ed05115259bbc48ba8182df1416edb85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.68K
- Realized PnL
- $35.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $79.78
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$20.21
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.1%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $177.17
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $11.91
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $986.21
- Potential profit
- $986.21
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.34
- Potential profit
- $833.34
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $50.72
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $96.34
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.05
- Potential profit
- $134.05
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
Ends Jun 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Israel military action on Yemen before June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $983.61
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 34% 147.06 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 84% 595.32 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 84.2% 593.77 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 80.5% 2,519.49 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 81.2% 615.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 91.9% 1,087.79 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 54.3% 292.89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 91.9% 1,088.66 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 63.3% 790.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 85.4% 2,343.09 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 63.3% 316.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 63.4% 315.66 shares