Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $653.24
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.06K
Polymarket Trader
0xfb33...74f4
0xfb3397e701044b8de3576d4a941feebed5e874f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $653.24
- Realized PnL
- -$3.17
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.55
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.5
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$224.96
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$282.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 1,044.47 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes 4.1% 7,608.95 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 2,212.2 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 35.7% 1,880.43 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 59% 1,248.42 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes 7.9% 6,297.47 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes 7.6% 1,311.48 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 48.4% 821.93 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 47% 1,058.51 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 88% 2,671.04 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 89.7% 2,671.03 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 88% 1,384.01 shares