Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Polymarket Trader
distinct-croissant
0xfb34cac3cb5eb80fd4be86ce12c559fedf48ecc0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.75
- Realized PnL
- $155.44
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.47
- Potential profit
- $60.47
- User PnL
- -$9.58
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.64
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.6
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.17
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.32
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.61
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.65
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 86% 178.99 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 79% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 62% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 62% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 62% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 62% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 62% 5.16 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 61% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 61% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 61% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 61% 5 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 30?Up 57% 5 shares