Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$18
Polymarket Trader
sdfes4
0xfb4102f78c933a8627f330b11378cc5b677f9ff5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.6
- Realized PnL
- $31.1
- Win rate
- 63.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$17.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.62
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.56
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of May 18 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will EA say "Competition" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.03
Over position
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.91
No position
Will EA say "Competition" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 10?No 98% 8.62 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?No 98% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 27?No 98.9% 10.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 11?No 98% 10.2 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 1?Yes 98.5% 13 shares
- Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of May 18 2026?No 95.1% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 17?No 87.5% 10.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 8?No 99% 19.64 shares
- Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5Over 81% 11 shares
- Grok 4.20 released by March 31?Yes 97.4% 1,932 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No 97.1% 7.4 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No 99.1% 5 shares