Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $30.85
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Polymarket Trader
ShipwreckGraveyard
0xfb501b2a5c5f71762cfc89bd04c41e8306daf88f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.85
- Realized PnL
- $12.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Heat position
Heat vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Steve Erceg position
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Nuggets position
Warriors vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Trail Blazers position
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Spurs position
Bulls vs. Spurs
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 34.09 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?Yes 99.7% 19.06 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7?Yes 4.5% 22.22 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 33.69 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 33.7 shares
- Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?Yes 98.3% 30.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 32.36 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 92.7% 32.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.3% 31.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 31.58 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 31.29 shares