Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $26.15
- Potential profit
- $21.05
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Polymarket Trader
FTPLalpha
0xfb511c095f69700727ee6aee91b30bb87fefb1b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.63
- Realized PnL
- $316.51
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.75
- Potential profit
- $16.75
- User PnL
- -$3.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $7.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.88
- Potential profit
- $6.87
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $6.23
- Potential payout
- $6.63
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $3.17
- Potential payout
- $6.28
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $5.47
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.22
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 24?No 62% 5.47 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 24?No 67% 5.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 24?No 52% 6.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?No 54% 6.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?Yes 13% 26.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 23?No 65% 5.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?No 52% 6.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 24?No 67% 5.03 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 23?No 43% 7.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 24?No 65% 5.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 24?No 51% 6.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 24?Yes 14% 24 shares