Yes position
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Polymarket Trader
Parmabram
0xfb533a43397ea92155def899e319d6b00685edd1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.5
- Realized PnL
- $493.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.7
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.03
- Potential profit
- $340.03
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.19
- Potential profit
- $300.19
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.31
- Potential profit
- $244.31
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $179.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.97
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $144.23
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$18.6
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.01
- Potential profit
- $120.01
- User PnL
- -$11.16
Yes position
Will Baidu have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$11.85
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $94.21
- Potential profit
- $94.16
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.27
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $69.84
- Potential profit
- $69.39
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $50.12
- Potential profit
- $50.04
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.96
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $18.11
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "President Xi" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.43
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.23
Yes position
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.2
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.43
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.26
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
Yes position
Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.85
Yes position
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.7
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.5
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $9.8
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 9.9% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 33% 58.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETDown 57.1% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 39.1% 20 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 14% 70 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes 7% 164.23 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 60% 40 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Yes 53% 5.79 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes 17.5% 150 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes 37% 78 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Yes 29% 100 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes 80% 10 shares