No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $400.34
- Potential payout
- $489.11
- Potential profit
- $88.77
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $6.11
Polymarket Trader
k166
0xfb584332744203945fec3de3a06ab9226e1cf176
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $443.66
- Realized PnL
- $169.96
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $43.32
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $196.68
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.6
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,400 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.4% 240 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80.6% 453 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?No 99.8% 80 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88.3% 453 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 404.04 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.6% 66.66 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 66.67 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 76% 39.47 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 68% 36.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 96% 26.04 shares
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes 99% 404.04 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No 99.9% 400 shares