Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Current value
- $6.54K
- Potential payout
- $19.67K
- Potential profit
- $13.13K
- Multiplier
- 3.01x
- User PnL
- -$3.3K
Polymarket Trader
0xFB593511b24DF1EdfF63c35de81C72d5733683f9-1772989578742
0xfb593511b24df1edff63c35de81c72d5733683f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.22K
- Realized PnL
- $28.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Current value
- $13.13K
- Potential payout
- $19.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.13K
- Potential profit
- $10.13K
- User PnL
- -$954.29
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $4.87K
- Potential payout
- $8.25K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$1.82K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.65K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- User PnL
- -$847.05
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$95.98
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $17
- User PnL
- $483
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$379.04
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$606.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$228.66
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$360.24
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $835
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $769.15
- Potential profit
- $769.15
- User PnL
- -$151.49
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $684
- Potential profit
- $684
- User PnL
- -$8.49
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $500.39
- Potential payout
- $614.05
- Potential profit
- $113.66
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $27.57
Up position
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$130
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.28
- Potential profit
- $588.28
- User PnL
- -$134.42
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $367.77
- Potential payout
- $570.18
- Potential profit
- $202.42
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $534.74
- Potential profit
- $534.74
- User PnL
- -$168.49
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$24
Up position
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $497
- Potential profit
- $497
- User PnL
- -$206.32
Up position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $413.72
- Potential profit
- $413.72
- User PnL
- -$98.46
Down position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397.08
- Potential profit
- $397.08
- User PnL
- -$120.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42K
Down position
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Up position
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Down position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $897.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.62
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.9
Down position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.92
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.79
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $530.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $494.48
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $463.58
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.41
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432.02
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.9
Down position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.6
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.76
Up position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.16
Up position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.17
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 91% 8.33 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 57.2% 5,045.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 75% 472.65 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 65% 215 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 66.5% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 65.5% 409.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 87% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 70% 126.2 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 67% 4,778.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 51% 235 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 1,773.66 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No 69% 153.01 shares