Polymarket Trader

KyleRobinson5000

0xfb5f250d66d67f853fd370c89d7b462670b8f3dc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.59
Realized PnL: $528.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Blue Prince win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524
Potential profit: $524
User PnL: -$75.98

Yes position

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$143.5

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301
Potential profit: $301
User PnL: -$102.34

Yes position

Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248
Potential profit: $248
User PnL: -$76.88

Yes position

Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246
Potential profit: $246
User PnL: -$34.44

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $126
Potential profit: $126
User PnL: -$20.16

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114
Potential profit: $114
User PnL: -$33.06

No position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $88
User PnL: -$24.78

No position

Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.5
Potential profit: $85.5
User PnL: -$68.4

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51
Potential profit: $51
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $34.71
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $4.29
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $7.02

No position

Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.94
Potential profit: $26.94
User PnL: -$7.71

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$12.61

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $15.13
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$0.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$8.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$4.59

Down position

Solana Up or Down - November 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $16
User PnL: -$10.88

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 25-December 1?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Sisyphus mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.61

Yes position

Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.06

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

Yes position

Will the 2025–2026 edition of Dick Clark's New Year's Rockin' Eve have between 22.5 million and 25 million viewers?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Will Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.51

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.46

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $25.65

Yes position

Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.48

No position

Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.97

Yes position

Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.81

No position

Will Squid Game be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.04

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.32

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.07

Yes position

Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $15.52

No position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.14

Yes position

Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.41

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.56

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.84

Yes position

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82

Yes position

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

No 80% 90 shares
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 20% 452 shares
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 20% 502 shares
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

No 80% 16 shares
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

Yes 19% 16 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 67% 585 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

No 69% 585 shares
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?

No 47.8% 459 shares
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 31% 967 shares
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?

No 70% 106 shares
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

No 67% 79 shares
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

No 68% 79 shares