Polymarket Trader

TakedaKaizen

@TakedaKaizen7

0xfb5fd0732abb41e5a6f7dab14b800deca43f1ad5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $114.56
Realized PnL: $173.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.11
Potential profit: $331.11
User PnL: -$80.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $114.56
Potential payout: $313.88
Potential profit: $199.31
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $39.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.6
Potential profit: $313.6
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.17
Potential profit: $112.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.73
Potential profit: $93.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.68
Potential profit: $41.68
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.73
Potential profit: $40.73
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.2
Potential profit: $15.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.67
Potential profit: $13.67
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.25
Potential profit: $12.25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.28
Potential profit: $11.28
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.28
Potential profit: $11.28
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.28
Potential profit: $11.28
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $5.41
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 24% 313.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 41% 187.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 32.1% 187.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 34.9% 28.65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 41.4% 12.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 61% 28.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 34.4% 28.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 9.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 313.6 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 16% 7.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Yes 5.7% 10.52 shares