No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Polymarket Trader
0xfb633D1e4e16d85a58802c1FD252c8523C1C6C51-1782466241307
0xfb633d1e4e16d85a58802c1fd252c8523c1c6c51
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.55
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $139.27
- Potential profit
- $138.71
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $64.82
- Potential profit
- $64.27
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $24.19
- Potential payout
- $49.36
- Potential profit
- $25.17
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $12.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $21.96
- Potential profit
- $21.17
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.82
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $14.85
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $7.25
- Potential profit
- $2.54
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.18
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $5.49
- Potential payout
- $6.51
- Potential profit
- $1.03
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 30% 6.67 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 36.7% 13.62 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 30.7% 6.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 29?Yes 42% 2.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 29?Yes 4.6% 21.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 30?Yes 1.5% 64.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 30?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 29?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 29?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 7.14 shares