Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.82K
- Potential profit
- $4.82K
- User PnL
- -$240.58
Polymarket Trader
yanlaoshi
0xfb6a8a846ca59eec18f3c26479acbfe357667caf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.34K
- Realized PnL
- $3.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $650
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$450
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $687.53
- Potential payout
- $695.18
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $264
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.71
- Potential profit
- $146.71
- User PnL
- -$14.67
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$82
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $76
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $38.34
- Potential payout
- $43.57
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.37
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.87
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.82
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.22
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.37
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.48
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.85
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.66
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.03
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.12
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.93
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.22
No position
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.56
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.81
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.34
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.93
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.89
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 87.1% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 87% 250 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?No 98.6% 269.28 shares
- Epstein client list released by June 30?No 98.5% 425.9 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes 4.9% 3,873 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes 4.9% 50 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes 39% 200 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes 5.4% 900 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 98.2% 3,100 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes 1% 126.56 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026?Yes 97.3% 90 shares