Polymarket Trader

Hawk16

0xfb70b08693be579d4016ad91e4d06cd25672f85b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $28.06
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $564
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $36
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $6

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $389.03
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $0.98
User PnL: $8

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $47.93
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $8.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.25

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$5

Aryna Sabalenka position

Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.77
Potential profit: $6.77
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.89
Potential profit: $3.89
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Matteo Arnaldi position

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Ashlyn Krueger position

Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Himeno Sakatsume

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

No 93% 600 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 97.7% 390 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 99.5% 55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 96.2% 55 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 95.9% 60 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 77.2% 3.89 shares
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

No 98.4% 95 shares
Birmingham: Ashlyn Krueger vs Himeno Sakatsume

Ashlyn Krueger 87% 1.15 shares
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider

Aryna Sabalenka 73.9% 6.77 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Spurs 64% 7.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 80% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Up 18% 27.78 shares