Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $598.5K
- Potential payout
- $600K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Polymarket Trader
timemachinee
0xfb745c232f22c2bb9d2b66a1750c07a738601513
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $598.5K
- Realized PnL
- $56.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88K
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.01K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $958.26
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $928.95
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.96
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $690.67
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.38
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $499.8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.01
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 600,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 10.9% 498.42 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.7% 200 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 61% 5 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 43% 65.08 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 43% 283.34 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 57% 264.19 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 22.6% 2,238.15 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 44% 1,641.35 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 22.6% 1,579.99 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 44% 2,356.44 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 22.5% 613.11 shares