Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $54.38
- Potential payout
- $435
- Potential profit
- $380.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.72
Polymarket Trader
Wasserturm
0xfb8285acf88bf4e27eb7ddff71f72f9527f40318
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $146.45
- Realized PnL
- $660.08
- Win rate
- 55%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $65.58
- Potential payout
- $215.01
- Potential profit
- $149.43
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$7.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $26.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $73.5
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$23.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.89
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177
Yes position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.21
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.11
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.99
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.32
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.4
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.95
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $14.95
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.66
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.37
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$126.23
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$174.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 34% 215 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 53% 264.15 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 37.6% 332.63 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 32% 83.11 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 50% 100 shares
- Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No 43.1% 115.96 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 43% 116.28 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 67.1% 161.06 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 56% 357.14 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes 15% 250 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?No 32% 311 shares
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?Yes 96% 155.8 shares