No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $45.63
- Potential payout
- $91.27K
- Potential profit
- $91.22K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.82K
Polymarket Trader
stopgrowing
0xfb83a2228c1b4ec7dd84c4bf95c9b7a3883477ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.8K
- Realized PnL
- $15.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $13.11K
- Potential payout
- $22.41K
- Potential profit
- $9.3K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.83K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Current value
- $632.53
- Potential payout
- $847.9
- Potential profit
- $215.37
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $24.13
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $14.78
- Potential payout
- $37.42
- Potential profit
- $22.64
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.83
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.05
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $466.65
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.87
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.69
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.17
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.62
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $63.48
No position
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.1
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- $43.11
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.61
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.72
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.58
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 3% 66.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 7,413.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 11,128.83 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.9% 324.17 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.9% 15 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.9% 5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.9% 70 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.6% 16 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.7% 28.39 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.6% 320.35 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.5% 5 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.5% 16 shares