Polymarket Trader

Vildebo

0xfb853dada10d9edf4e1b5a2d091df863fb0515f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.26
Realized PnL: $36.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.43
Potential profit: $32.43
User PnL: -$25

No position

X banned in any European country by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $19.4
Potential payout: $22.17
Potential profit: $2.77
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.24
Potential profit: $15.24
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $12.65
Potential payout: $13.67
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 25 above $390?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $9.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.96
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $7.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $6.55
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.29

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $6.49
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $5.28
Potential payout: $6.33
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.1%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.11

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$0.42

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $395?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $390?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

70k position

Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

CGN Esports position

Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO5) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of July 13 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $380?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $395?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of July 13 2026?

Yes 93% 5.38 shares
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 Week of July 13 2026?

No 94% 2.13 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 90% 2.22 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 5.43 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.4% 1.07 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.7% 1.1 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.9% 1.11 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.8% 15.24 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 76% 1.32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 84% 1.19 shares