Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $213.89
- Potential payout
- $291
- Potential profit
- $77.12
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $18.91
Polymarket Trader
LoriSilva6031
0xfb977646809f56b05b7137e5436c000934e6b54d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $227.2
- Realized PnL
- $5.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $85.79
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.25
Yes position
Rippling IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $47.58
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.03
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $20.95
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $15.98
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.9%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $4.32
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
No position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be 2+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $549.78
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.8
Yes position
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.91
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.32
Yes position
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Producer of Documentary Film at the 37th PGA Awards?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $236.16
Alabama Crimson Tide position
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.51
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.73
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.62
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.52
Yes position
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200.88
Yes position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.22
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.02
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $150.45
Yes position
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.9
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 9 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.08
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.87
Over position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.41
Yes position
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.84
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Epstein" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.1
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.81
No position
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56% 1,391 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56% 8 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56% 8 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56% 8 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56% 8 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56% 8 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 56% 6 shares
- Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No 40% 459 shares
- Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No 40% 571 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No 55% 1,437 shares
- Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?No 96.5% 16 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 32% 49 shares