No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.2%
- Current value
- $104.74
- Potential payout
- $315.97
- Potential profit
- $211.23
- Multiplier
- 3.02x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Polymarket Trader
mxc3ua20pkio
0xfb9caa0dba4ba6cb15a928e37e6bc56d19e7383e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $360.84
- Realized PnL
- $275.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $241.9
- Potential payout
- $258.57
- Potential profit
- $16.68
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $15.71
- Potential profit
- $15.2
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $11.13
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $7.33
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.24
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Magic
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.73
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Suns position
Cavaliers vs. Suns
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Hornets position
Hornets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 8?No 96.3% 1.27 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 8?No 96.3% 1.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?Yes 16.1% 7.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 5?No 98.4% 3.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 5?Yes 28% 5.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?Yes 75% 4.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?Yes 34% 0.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 4?Yes 36% 7.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 16% 0.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 36% 0.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 41% 2.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 2?Yes 10.3% 1.46 shares