Polymarket Trader

alserero

0xfb9d7374fa8492d46f388864bcf1763b12db77d5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.84
Realized PnL: $50.69
Win rate: 93.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.47
Potential profit: $85.47
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $14.91
Potential payout: $54.23
Potential profit: $39.32
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$10.09

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.72
Potential profit: $51.72
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $8.92
Potential payout: $44.5
Potential profit: $35.58
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Cabo Verde position

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?

Yes 46.1% 54.23 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score

No 90.8% 11.01 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Under 79% 1.27 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Under 51% 5.88 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 87% 22.99 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 51% 9.8 shares
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Cabo Verde 58% 3.45 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 88.2% 11.33 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

England 89% 22.47 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 94.6% 5 shares