Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $6.82K
- Potential payout
- $92.8K
- Potential profit
- $85.98K
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.18K
Polymarket Trader
dzmontana
0xfba65b33e7d8f978ab92921e2a2146789bee3dc3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.32K
- Realized PnL
- $117.1K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.94K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $227.71
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $831.39
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$72.29
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $986.4
- Potential profit
- $986.4
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $909.09
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $671.89
- Potential profit
- $671.89
- User PnL
- -$26.88
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $8.29
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $563.14
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$31.71
Yes position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $9.85
- Potential payout
- $480.27
- Potential profit
- $470.42
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$25.15
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $16.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $383.8
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$20.6
Yes position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $11.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $322
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$38.67
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $7.19
- Potential payout
- $282.93
- Potential profit
- $275.75
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$52.81
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $214.58
- Potential profit
- $209.43
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$44.85
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $15.1
- Potential payout
- $177.7
- Potential profit
- $162.59
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$24.9
Yes position
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $144.69
- Potential profit
- $144.18
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$9.49
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $17.99
- Potential payout
- $138.36
- Potential profit
- $120.37
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$39.01
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $18.24
- Potential payout
- $130.25
- Potential profit
- $112.02
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$11.76
Yes position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $124.55
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$17.97
Yes position
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $8.53
- Potential payout
- $121.82
- Potential profit
- $113.29
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$21.47
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $45.02
- Potential payout
- $119.4
- Potential profit
- $74.39
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $15.02
Yes position
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $20.59
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $97.06
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $63.37
- Potential payout
- $116.28
- Potential profit
- $52.91
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $13.37
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $24.99
- Potential payout
- $113.6
- Potential profit
- $88.61
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$15.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.07K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.37K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $978.37
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $901.11
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.26
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.85
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.41
Yes position
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$89.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 8,844.67 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.7% 83,955.96 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 58% 10,000 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?No 17% 2,941.18 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 10,000.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 44,999.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 6% 226,305.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 7% 6,900 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 26% 13,734 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 12% 1,083.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 12% 424.78 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Yes 4% 671.89 shares