Polymarket Trader

Efraa

0xfbc64eaa8678c7a6e8ec586a9c5f4fd5bd5456a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.59
Realized PnL: $139.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.07
Potential profit: $291.07
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.23
Potential profit: $71.23
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.42
Potential profit: $55.42
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.46
Potential profit: $45.46
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $35.09
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.27
Potential profit: $22.27
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 24.8%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $13.93
Multiplier: 4.03x
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.32
Potential profit: $11.32
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in April 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.18
Potential profit: $4.18
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.36
Potential profit: $2.36
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $2.3
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Joao Fonseca position

Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.37

No position

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Jannik Sinner position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 5.4% 18.52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 36% 2.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 65% 6.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 47% 8.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 34% 8.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 37% 8.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 37% 8.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 78% 7.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 65% 7.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 26.5% 11.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 34% 27.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 72% 27.78 shares