ElonSimp

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.34
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $18.28
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$59.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$400.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $554.75
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.46K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$196.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $507.3
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $287.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$120.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$33.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$142.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$462.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $910
Potential profit: $909.55
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $835.66
Potential profit: $835.66
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $834
Potential profit: $834
User PnL: -$65.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $826
Potential profit: $826
User PnL: -$21.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727
Potential profit: $727
User PnL: -$20.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $710.32
Potential profit: $710.32
User PnL: -$28.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $694.92
Potential profit: $694.92
User PnL: -$29.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.38
Potential profit: $687.38
User PnL: -$82.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $685
Potential profit: $685
User PnL: -$25.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $646
Potential profit: $646
User PnL: -$23.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $642.5
Potential profit: $642.5
User PnL: -$37.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $642
Potential profit: $642
User PnL: -$24.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $642
Potential profit: $642
User PnL: -$24.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $727.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $609.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $482.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $441.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $329.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $151.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $128.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.81

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?