Nominalich

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.76
Potential profit: $51.76
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.04
Potential profit: $51.04
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.43
Potential profit: $46.43
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.82
Potential profit: $35.82
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.58
Potential profit: $34.58
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.64
Potential profit: $33.64
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.14
Potential profit: $32.14
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.48
Potential profit: $31.48
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.24
Potential profit: $31.24
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.5
Potential profit: $28.5
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.24
Potential profit: $27.24
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $25.71
Potential profit: $25.43
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$4.22

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $24.56
Potential profit: $20.51
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.51
Potential profit: $24.51
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.11
Potential profit: $23.11
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.6
Potential profit: $21.6
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.72
Potential profit: $19.72
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.17
Potential profit: $19.17
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.68
Potential profit: $16.68
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.13
Potential profit: $14.13
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.29
Potential profit: $11.29
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.12

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 95%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.31

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.35

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $19.26

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.17

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.44

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.38

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9?