Polymarket Trader

richardtan

0xfbd9bc6313d1e0293853c20fb93fb2e1bdbe700b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $754.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41K
Potential profit: $41K
User PnL: -$41

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$7

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $785.27
Potential profit: $785.27
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.99

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.61

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Czechia position

Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5)

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Yes 8% 95 shares
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 50% 20 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 18% 130 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 46% 100 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 66% 20 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 93% 90 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 54% 356.6 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 60% 218.61 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 73% 136.28 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 77% 198.83 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 79% 30 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Yes 56% 45.08 shares