Polymarket Trader

0xfbE3A283c7cDae3dDcF2ACe8c8Ef95C9DFeeD8Fb-1729573187772

0xfbe3a283c7cdae3ddcf2ace8c8ef95c9dfeed8fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $117.17
Realized PnL: $280.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.2
Potential profit: $92.2
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.78
Potential profit: $52.78
User PnL: -$10

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $36.12
Potential payout: $40.81
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $11.12

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $7.09
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $28.63
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $20.88
Potential payout: $30.71
Potential profit: $9.83
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.6
Potential profit: $26.6
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $8.99
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $13.23
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$3.01

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.9%
Current value: $4.41
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $17.81
Multiplier: 5.04x
User PnL: -$3.59

No position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $15.15
Potential payout: $17.02
Potential profit: $1.87
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $12.58
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $0.75
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.17

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.24

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.63

Suns position

Warriors vs. Suns

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.27

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.12

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.32

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.81

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

No position

Will Gaetz be sworn in with the new congress?

Ends Jan 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 75% 13.33 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 37.6% 26.6 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 74% 6.76 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Yes 55% 9.09 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69% 21.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Up 52% 3.85 shares
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 32.6% 30.71 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Yes 47% 21.28 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 79% 12.66 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 53.1% 11.3 shares