Polymarket Trader

snrts

0xfbe597f324207d1c288928ec69a17be78a7233a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $390.64
Realized PnL: $557.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.4%
Current value: $142.53
Potential payout: $224.66
Potential profit: $82.14
Multiplier: 1.58x
User PnL: $17.53

Yes position

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $180.61
Potential payout: $215.01
Potential profit: $34.4
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $36.83

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.83
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$9.19

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.8

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $18.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $10.86
Multiplier: 6.31x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $10.09
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $1.96
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $5.64
Potential payout: $9.56
Potential profit: $3.92
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $6.96
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.96

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.03
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.1
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$0.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $330.48

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.22

No position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.52

Yes position

Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

No 81% 12.35 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 63% 100 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Yes 72% 100 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Up 18.5% 10.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Up 18% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Up 34% 14.71 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Up 37% 13.51 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Up 32.6% 15.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Down 97% 5.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Down 95% 1.05 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Down 7.2% 13.88 shares