annas22

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $210
Potential profit: $209.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $49.43
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.23
Potential profit: $34.23
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $23.57
Potential profit: $20.15
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $13.42
Potential profit: $12.97
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $10.68
Potential profit: $9.98
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.51
Potential payout: $7.52
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in June 2026?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $4.95
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $4.47
Potential payout: $4.5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $3.83
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $3.79
Potential profit: $3.41
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $3.15
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.02
Potential payout: $3.02
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $2.39
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $2.3
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.6%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $2.2
Potential profit: $0.67
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $2.12
Potential profit: $1.47
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.2%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.8
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?