Polymarket Trader

MarkMolina5436

@AroraIriza25215

0xfbec7ed3905972769c426de6a4fcd0e339d18dcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $614.43
Realized PnL: $2.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $662
Potential profit: $658.69
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$407.13

LIU Sharks position

Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. LIU Sharks

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $301
Potential payout: $602
Potential profit: $301
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $581
Potential profit: $581
User PnL: -$249.83

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $86.55
Potential payout: $577
Potential profit: $490.45
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$121.17

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453
Potential profit: $453
User PnL: -$240.09

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $223.55
Potential payout: $263
Potential profit: $39.45
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $47.34

Yes position

Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $121
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Ranger FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117
Potential profit: $117
User PnL: -$8.19

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$21.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in November 2025?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $86
User PnL: -$21.84

Yes position

HumidiFi FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $57
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Daniel Băluță get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Glean IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.31

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $206.85

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.98

No position

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $150.2

Yes position

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 18?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.53

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.86

No position

Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.65

Yes position

Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $110.4

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.65

No position

Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $89.44

Yes position

Will Keldon Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.31

Yes position

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.91

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 26, 8PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.65

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.03

No position

Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.88

No position

Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.69

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.43

Yes position

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $51.59

Yes position

Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.62

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.7

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $35.87

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.37

Yes position

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 63% 12 shares
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 63% 12 shares
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 63% 18 shares
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 70% 42 shares
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. LIU Sharks

LIU Sharks 50% 602 shares
Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

No 73% 93 shares
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

No 59% 218 shares
Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

No 9% 136 shares
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 12% 93 shares
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 12% 742 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 69% 40 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 69% 587 shares