Yes position
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $77.88
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $2.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $9.88
Polymarket Trader
Frogert
0xfbf6c23738d7a0a0f8a1b41be099af3dfbd67521
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $849.39
- Realized PnL
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $79.64
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- User PnL
- $10.04
Yes position
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $69.2
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$41.2
Yes position
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $77.36
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $14.16
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Orange County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $78.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.6%
- Current value
- $49.28
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $30.72
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- -$19.52
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $79.48
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $75.36
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $14.32
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $55.59
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $24.41
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$11.61
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $76.87
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $59.58
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $54.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.1
Yes position
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $55.53
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.8
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.8
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.23
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $41.25
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.75
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.8
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.65
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.93
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.65
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.77
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.23
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Miami address?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.97
No position
Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.99
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.8
No position
Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.53
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.4
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.99
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.98
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.2
No position
Will Melania say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during statement on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.47
No position
Will Trump say "Fake News" during WHCA Dinner events?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.37
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.99
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.98
No position
Will Vance say "Inflation" 3+ times during his Rocky Mount visit?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.49
Yes position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Memphis Roundtable?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?Yes 19% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 19?Yes 6.6% 5.35 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 18?No 95.3% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on June 16?No 99.3% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 16?No 99.4% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 16?No 99.7% 30 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16?No 93% 11 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16?No 84.2% 30 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 97% 15 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 13?No 97.3% 80 shares
- Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 67% 80 shares
- Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?No 96.7% 24.93 shares