No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $101.19
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $89.29
Polymarket Trader
IronFelix
0xfc0694cbf0a9a5592c1ba276f35f0ac4bbe822cc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.56K
- Realized PnL
- -$44.09
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $994.32
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $142.05
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$5.68
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $181.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Another US bank failure by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$86.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No 90% 233.33 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No 91% 43.96 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 84.1% 950.88 shares
- Another US bank failure by March 31?No 90.7% 165.45 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 84% 1,190.48 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 88% 1,136.36 shares