Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.33K
- Potential profit
- $52.33K
- User PnL
- -$5.14K
Polymarket Trader
MPIL
0xfc081d2dab43d97ee05b624e2166808ad3e96be7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.59K
- Realized PnL
- $14.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.41K
- Potential profit
- $25.41K
- User PnL
- -$392.91
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $990
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.01K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $110.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.73K
- Potential profit
- $16.73K
- User PnL
- -$6.05K
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.44K
- Potential profit
- $15.44K
- User PnL
- -$3.23K
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $15.08K
- Potential profit
- $14.02K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$2.11K
150k position
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16K
- Potential profit
- $13.16K
- User PnL
- -$2.58K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.65K
- Potential profit
- $12.65K
- User PnL
- -$376.45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.92K
- Potential profit
- $11.92K
- User PnL
- -$107.32
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $305.58
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $10.81K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.29K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$2.19K
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $285
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.71K
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $33.14
- Potential payout
- $9.47K
- Potential profit
- $9.43K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$563.99
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $898.86
- Potential payout
- $9.46K
- Potential profit
- $8.56K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$867.78
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.14K
- Potential profit
- $8.14K
- User PnL
- -$806.19
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- User PnL
- -$4.22K
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 680k+ BTC by January 31?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- User PnL
- -$806.22
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$273
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 6-12?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$375
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$133.01
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $19.02
- Potential payout
- $2.24K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$10.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $820.32
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $796.98
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.82
Yes position
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.97
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $283.66
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.74
No position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $181.82
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $174.88
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 10-16?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.04
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.02
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.95
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.58
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.57
No position
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 76% 20 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 3.9% 10,000 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 2,238.19 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No 5.7% 2,323.34 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Yes 3% 12,045.68 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes 91% 128.54 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?No 87% 135 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes 89% 239.94 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes 88% 545.95 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18.5% 3,288.72 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Yes 2.9% 865.04 shares