Polymarket Trader

MS91

0xfc0a18473915928784716ad62f32c4fa8cd28c9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $216.94
Realized PnL: $119.79
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $30.61
Potential payout: $887.32
Potential profit: $856.71
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$9.39

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $28.15
Potential payout: $457.74
Potential profit: $429.59
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $256.41
Potential profit: $249.36
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $56.95
Potential payout: $223.32
Potential profit: $166.37
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189.4
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $18.29
Potential payout: $114.67
Potential profit: $96.38
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $20.4
Potential payout: $77.12
Potential profit: $56.72
Multiplier: 3.78x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $66.92
Potential profit: $58.72
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $7.43
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $28.93
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $16.67
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $18.42
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $12.59
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.68

Yes position

Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.16

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 1,684.78 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 41% 12.2 shares
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.2% 69.44 shares
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 714.28 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 53% 9.43 shares
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 4.4% 227.27 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 416.67 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 53% 9.43 shares
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 4.4% 225.27 shares
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 4.6% 434.78 shares