0xFc0b1518BA70D17e2A35EB289CC8271a866Ca782-1775218074668

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$6.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$8.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$47.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $686.47
Potential profit: $686.47
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $660.19
Potential profit: $660.19
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $635.51
Potential profit: $635.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $634.24
Potential profit: $634.24
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530.69
Potential profit: $530.69
User PnL: -$16.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $407.66
Potential profit: $407.66
User PnL: -$62.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $362.41
Potential profit: $362.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.24
Potential profit: $360.24
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C or below on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $358.73
Potential profit: $358.73
User PnL: -$138.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.56
Potential profit: $356.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $309.98
Potential profit: $309.98
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.26
Potential profit: $306.26
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.4
Potential profit: $301.4
User PnL: -$37.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.48
Potential profit: $281.48
User PnL: -$2.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.81
Potential profit: $280.81
User PnL: -$2.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.93
Potential profit: $269.93
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.95
Potential profit: $256.95
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.71
Potential profit: $249.71
User PnL: -$66.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.78
Potential profit: $230.78
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.74
Potential profit: $228.74
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.86
Potential profit: $222.86
User PnL: -$32.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.65
Potential profit: $218.65
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.57
Potential profit: $218.57
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.24
Potential profit: $201.24
User PnL: -$88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.9
Potential profit: $200.9
User PnL: -$50.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or higher on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.89
Potential profit: $178.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.21
Potential profit: $176.21
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.15
Potential profit: $157.15
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.85
Potential profit: $155.85
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.4
Potential profit: $147.4
User PnL: -$23.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.75
Potential profit: $141.75
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.19
Potential profit: $131.19
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.19
Potential profit: $128.19
User PnL: -$8.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.56
Potential profit: $123.56
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.39
Potential profit: $119.39
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.14
Potential profit: $119.14
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.67
Potential profit: $117.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.22
Potential profit: $117.22
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.83
Potential profit: $110.83
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.18
Potential profit: $110.18
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.45
Potential profit: $109.45
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.1
Potential profit: $108.1
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.71
Potential profit: $102.71
User PnL: -$39.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.53
Potential profit: $100.53
User PnL: -$28.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.42
Potential profit: $100.42
User PnL: -$6.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or higher on May 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?