Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $562.19
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $7.92
Polymarket Trader
facai8
@xiaoxia19877
0xfc160f7b733b238fea402fa58b022367295dd936
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $3.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $558.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $524.17
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.26
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $343.84
No position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $304.27
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.23
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.04
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.5
Yes position
Iran military response by Friday?
Ends Aug 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.49
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.4
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.68
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $65.69
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.43
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.17
Yes position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.24
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.87
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.88
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.87
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes 1.4% 1,388.06 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 34.4% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 15% 5,779.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 60% 2,293.49 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 18.3% 3,351.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 25% 656.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 18% 18.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 24% 19.01 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 24% 1,528.6 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes 46.4% 471.86 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes 4.3% 2,122.24 shares