Polymarket Trader

ilovethefuturesomuch

0xfc2d697e0d4c1181eebdc05f64804764aeec063f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $217.62
Realized PnL: $2.76K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$652.67

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $12.54
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$57.46

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$950.58

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$259

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $202.38
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$297.62

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$124.3

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $733.33
Potential profit: $733.33
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.99
Potential profit: $637.99
User PnL: -$172.26

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $745.5

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.1

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.83

Yes position

Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.1

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.08

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.61

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.32

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.43

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.15

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.26

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

OpenAI browser in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30m views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will seven total goals be scored in regulation time?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will PewDiePie's next video get 1.5m-2m views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30m views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 11.8% 1,080.33 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 3.1% 2,279.68 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 25.9% 1,927.46 shares
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Yes 27% 820.85 shares
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Yes 77% 496.1 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Yes 7% 457.14 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Yes 93% 420.43 shares
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

Yes 7% 457.14 shares
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?

Yes 14% 30 shares
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by December 31?

Yes 34% 30 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Yes 91% 300 shares