Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $220.42
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $612.92
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- $20.42
Polymarket Trader
fonsiman
@0xTilki
0xfc314972a6b52575fe61231a441621661062f145
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $566.66
- Realized PnL
- $985.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $300.24
- Potential payout
- $387.41
- Potential profit
- $87.17
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $98.2
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $46
- Potential payout
- $340.74
- Potential profit
- $294.74
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$104
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.3
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.04
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.13
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.13
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.81
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.77
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.96
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.74
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
Yes position
Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.11
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.71
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 73% 2.79 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 24% 833.33 shares
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 65% 165.78 shares
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 68.5% 460.58 shares
- Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 95.8% 626.37 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 52% 384.62 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No 0.1% 399.99 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No 13.8% 173.76 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes 29% 859.09 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes 27% 719.11 shares
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No 93% 107.53 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 44% 340.74 shares