Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Polymarket Trader
gfjntgyjhjt
0xfc3e9b61636d8872c501744c2ddc6dc0a928869c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.74
- Realized PnL
- $215.45
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $34.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $65.65
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $21.35
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $7.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.25
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.76
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $12.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.45
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.15
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6.3
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 1AM ET
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$47
No position
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.88
- Potential profit
- $9.88
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2AM ET
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.15
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No 99.7% 30 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 65% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?Yes 40% 9.76 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 67% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10AM ETUp 39.7% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3AM ETDown 47% 200 shares
- Solana Up or Down - January 21, 2AM ETDown 44.9% 200 shares
- XRP Up or Down - January 19, 1AM ETDown 47% 82 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 270 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.3% 100 shares