Yes position
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xfC43c01e5Db4f2929aA0cc99Ef5Af902636D4778-1714272989974
0xfc43c01e5db4f2929aa0cc99ef5af902636d4778
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.62
- Realized PnL
- $153.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $110.39
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Y
Yes position
Croatia leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.83
- Potential profit
- $54.83
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Y
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.8
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Ducks position
Ducks vs. Canucks
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.37
- Potential profit
- $42.37
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $6.86
- Potential payout
- $37.1
- Potential profit
- $30.24
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Pistons position
Rockets vs. Pistons
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.65
- Potential profit
- $30.65
- User PnL
- -$19
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina position
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $28.99
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$7.85
Maple Leafs position
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.15
- Potential profit
- $21.15
- User PnL
- -$11
Warriors position
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.34
- Potential profit
- $20.34
- User PnL
- -$12
Colorado Rockies position
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $13.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $7.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.75
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Nets position
Celtics vs. Nets
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $15.5
- Potential profit
- $15.48
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
No position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$4.4
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $5.93
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.08
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $14.94
- Potential profit
- $14.84
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pistons position
Thunder vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Ducks
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.59
Under position
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
Argentina position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Lakers position
Hawks vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Grizzlies
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Toronto Tempo position
Toronto Tempo vs. Connecticut Sun
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.75
Under position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
Team Evictix position
Valorant: Division One vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Under position
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Washington Nationals position
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Pistons position
Pacers vs. Pistons
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Indiana Fever position
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Detroit Tigers position
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No 69% 5 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 74% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 18% 3.51 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 18% 25 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.5% 1.06 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 1.01 shares
- Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in July?No 98.9% 1.01 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 96.8% 1.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Yes 21% 10 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 88% 1.14 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?No 93% 1.08 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?No 92% 1.09 shares